NCAA Tournament March Madness
#62 Boise St
Bubble Watch | Bracketology
Chat with the Bracketologist | How does this work?
Projection: likely out
Boise State sits outside because its résumé features a couple of tidy nonconference wins, notably over Wichita State and Utah Valley, but its best looks against power‑program opponents ended in tight losses to USC and NC State. A road setback at Butler combined with a string of victories over lesser opponents leaves the profile thin on the kind of road and neutral wins the committee rewards, and while the program’s defense offers a clear identity the offense has been inconsistent. The remaining opportunities at Butler and on the road at San Diego State and Utah State along with a neutral outing against St. Mary’s and home dates with New Mexico and Grand Canyon are the only paths to a statement victory that would alter the current projection.
| Date | Opponent | Ranking | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/8 | Utah Valley | 89 | W101-77 |
| 11/11 | UTRGV | 200 | W85-65 |
| 11/15 | Montana St | 156 | W62-58 |
| 11/18 | Wichita St | 99 | W62-59 |
| 11/24 | (N)USC | 28 | L70-67 |
| 11/25 | (N)NC State | 34 | L81-70 |
| 12/6 | @Butler | 41 | 31% |
| 12/10 | Duquesne | 142 | 84% |
| 12/14 | (N)St Mary's CA | 35 | 38% |
| 12/20 | @Nevada | 100 | 54% |
| 12/30 | New Mexico | 110 | 77% |
| 1/3 | @San Diego St | 47 | 34% |
| 1/6 | Grand Canyon | 103 | 76% |
| 1/7 | Grand Canyon | 103 | 76% |
| 1/10 | Utah St | 43 | 54% |
| 1/13 | @UNLV | 139 | 67% |
| 1/16 | Colorado St | 67 | 63% |
| 1/20 | @Wyoming | 107 | 57% |
| 1/24 | Air Force | 331 | 98% |
| 1/27 | @San Jose St | 186 | 77% |
| 1/30 | @Grand Canyon | 103 | 56% |
| 2/3 | Nevada | 100 | 75% |
| 2/7 | @New Mexico | 110 | 57% |
| 2/13 | UNLV | 139 | 84% |
| 2/18 | @Utah St | 43 | 32% |
| 2/21 | San Jose St | 186 | 90% |
| 2/24 | Wyoming | 107 | 77% |
| 2/28 | @Fresno St | 160 | 73% |
| 3/3 | San Diego St | 47 | 56% |
| 3/7 | @Colorado St | 67 | 41% |