NCAA Tournament March Madness

#54 Boise St

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

Chat with the Bracketologist | How does this work?


Projection: first four out

Boise State’s resume has enough high-end wins and enough damaging defeats to make their placement sensible. Their best moments include a neutral-site victory over Saint Mary’s and a true road win at Butler along with solid nonconference victories over Wichita State and Montana State that show they can beat respectable opponents away from home. Those peaks are offset by ugly home setbacks to Grand Canyon and Utah State and by a high-scoring loss at San Diego State and a road defeat at Nevada that expose offensive inconsistency and the harm heavy home losses do to committee perception. The remaining conference slate hands them obvious chances to shift the narrative with home dates against Nevada, UNLV, San Jose State, Wyoming and San Diego State and road tests at New Mexico, Utah State, Fresno State and Grand Canyon, so how they perform in those specific places will determine whether the profile looks like a secure tournament résumé or a bubble resume with work left to do.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/8Utah Valley106W101-77
11/11UTRGV174W85-65
11/15Montana St148W62-58
11/18Wichita St96W62-59
11/24(N)USC47L70-67
11/25(N)NC State24L81-70
12/6@Butler60W77-68
12/10Duquesne135W86-64
12/14(N)St Mary's CA36W68-67
12/20@Nevada63L81-66
12/30New Mexico42W62-53
1/3@San Diego St43L110-107
1/7Grand Canyon75L75-58
1/10Utah St30L93-68
1/13@UNLV134L89-85
1/16Colorado St95W79-73
1/20@Wyoming111W81-65
1/24Air Force346W96-54
1/27@San Jose St255W89-58
1/30@Grand Canyon7546%
2/3Nevada6364%
2/7@New Mexico4230%
2/13UNLV13483%
2/18@Utah St3024%
2/21San Jose St25595%
2/24Wyoming11179%
2/28@Fresno St13868%
3/3San Diego St4352%
3/7@Colorado St9554%